I want to build a check dam bridge thingy. In order to do so, I need to get our little Kubota excavator and tractor into the ravine in the right spot. I also need to get into the ravine for some other erosion management beneath a big trough that carries all the runoff water from […]
Building a Trail, Deep into the Ravine Read More »
As part of my time series forecasting package, I have invented my own algorithm. Which sounds really cool, but in reality isn’t that special. The reason it isn’t that special is it is just a combination of existing ideas applied together to this specific domain. On the positive side, the method isn’t really that difficult
Inventing My Own Algorithm – Motif Simulation Read More »
It looks like I will be stuck at the farm for several months, as I expect my job starting will be postponed for quite a while, and finding a different one impossible in the receding economy. Which makes this the perfect opportunity to dig into the massive wishlist/backlog of projects I have here for the
Chicken Coop Entrance Upgrades Read More »
Growing up, I always had the notion that one simply planted trees, waited, and with little to no work the world was vastly improved. Trees are good, but not so simply, alas. Firstly, trees grow like weeds. Black walnuts are a particular problem here at the farm, in that they grow quite robustly everywhere, and
Maintaining a Balance with Trees Read More »
VPNs are hitting the mainstream with the spread of work from home, caused by coronavirus. I am personally a major fan of remote work, and am glad the virus is finally pushing conservative corporations to embrace and adapt to the technology. Stackoverflow had an interesting article on scaling their OpenVPN to embrace their masses of
Wireguard VPN – a little praise Read More »
My triplet sister committed suicide a year ago today. The biggest question is always: why? Kelly, after all, pretty much had it all as far as most people can see. She was an Olympic medalist by the age of 21, and multiple time world champion. She almost certainly had greater strength and future victories ahead.
The Death of Kelly Catlin Read More »
I don’t think most people can really form a picture of New Zealand in their minds, excepting the rare and endangered kiwi bird, which is hardly representative since few even of the locals have seen one in the wild. New Zealand is largely a mystical sheep-filled underbelly of the world possibly containing El Dorado or
A Snapshot of New Zealand Read More »
There is, according to some commentators, a crisis in AI. This is because ‘models are not explainable’ or in other words they are a ‘black box’ – answers come out but they are not necessarily explained. Perhaps more correctly, the answer comes out, but these commentators want the model to babysit them through the entire
The Brain is a ‘Black Box’ Read More »
I have a history of obsessing over predicting the future. Probably the first major time series project I had was in grad school, with a consulting project forecasting amusement park attendance that ultimately found a LSTM network to be most effective. Again at my first data science job, forecasting demand and sales and prices. Probably
AutoTS – my new time series package for Python Read More »
When 2019 started, my life plan was basically to support my twin sister Kelly on her path to greatness. Sheer strength of personality made her unstoppable, but she needed help finding her path and maintaining balance. Socially, I forced her to get engaged with others, and my wild silliness always helped portray her as rational
