Essays

To Be, or Not to Be AGI, and how do I use it? That is the question

Is ChatGPT and the its family of LLMs alive? If not, will models like these someday (soon) be alive? Do we need to be afraid of them destroying our world as we know it? And regardless of whether these things are alive or not, will they be useful? Those questions are big questions right now,

To Be, or Not to Be AGI, and how do I use it? That is the question Read More »

Winning the M6 Competition: Financial Forecasting Decision Category

For the last couple of years, I have spent a large portion of my life attempting to solve the unsolvable: forecasting time series to predict the future. I have personally thought myself quite clever for the various innovations I have come up with, and the thousands of users on my free and open-source AutoTS project

Winning the M6 Competition: Financial Forecasting Decision Category Read More »

The Golden Enclaves: Naomi Novik finally completes a trilogy

Naomi Novik is one of the best fantasy writers around. Her early book, His Majesty’s Dragon and following series was one of my favorites, but it had a problem. It rather wandered around the globe, Patrick O’Brian style. Unfortunately, as an obvious result, it felt rather disconnected and random at times. Naomi Novik conspicuously avoided

The Golden Enclaves: Naomi Novik finally completes a trilogy Read More »